Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 8.495988 9.960623 11.564849 13.447414 15.590840 17.949930 20.737361
2025-12-14 5.817515 7.727074 10.045583 13.043631 16.790832 21.290853 27.071692
2025-12-21 4.275538 6.291674 8.951970 12.664962 17.649883 24.040110 32.767788
2025-12-28 3.580874 5.731430 8.766696 13.267316 19.654890 28.261131 40.568385
2026-01-04 3.019855 5.213942 8.502046 13.642871 21.296692 32.053985 48.041423
2026-01-11 2.518474 4.671769 8.085166 13.689059 22.403055 35.123362 54.685317
2026-01-18 2.125417 4.219097 7.716809 13.723356 23.439864 38.114585 61.378434
2026-01-25 1.746665 3.711783 7.170697 13.378744 23.813166 40.094746 66.661943
2026-02-01 1.443815 3.279436 6.677673 13.039122 24.124165 41.955311 71.838143
2026-02-08 1.170384 2.845815 6.110114 12.483430 23.991988 43.063489 75.863470
2026-02-15 0.963602 2.503831 5.656202 12.062381 24.024599 44.405239 80.306256
2026-02-22 0.869353 2.386884 5.621090 12.410877 25.435946 48.123876 88.855100
2026-03-01 0.773155 2.258133 5.568558 12.771392 27.000707 52.386219 98.899387
2026-03-08 0.636060 2.000278 5.207647 12.483993 27.355052 54.622904 105.758815
2026-03-15 0.519459 1.762149 4.845367 12.138062 27.550828 56.580542 112.262937
2026-03-22 0.476802 1.714538 4.913845 12.722356 29.642701 62.150270 125.545873
2026-03-29 0.427194 1.633133 4.885830 13.085224 31.311323 67.038669 137.888079
2026-04-05 0.369427 1.509646 4.729388 13.129908 32.312785 70.717266 148.216035
2026-04-12 0.319718 1.396517 4.578093 13.163012 33.285138 74.395922 158.752696
2026-04-19 0.264602 1.245752 4.294450 12.830687 33.415418 76.404653 166.214563
2026-04-26 0.218820 1.111630 4.029315 12.503210 33.514895 78.343329 173.637939
2026-05-03 0.175308 0.968092 3.704144 11.967478 33.070306 79.115358 178.790642
2026-05-10 0.142469 0.854060 3.443277 11.561629 32.882341 80.396661 185.017283